Recession Indicators

One of the most prominent recession indicators is when there are two consecutive quarters of negative growth in GDP. However, another indicator is when the yield curve "inverts".

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Andrew Vargas
Economics and Real Estate

There has been massive growth in the United States, the implementations of fiscal and monetary policy over the years since the Great Recession, and more importantly the recent volatility in the stock market for the 1st Quarter of 2018, has caused many to speculate whether or not we are finally at the peak of the business cycle.  Currently the first week of the 2nd Quarter of 2018 has also been volatile! 

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Andrew Vargas
WSJ

Today I came across a thorough article answering tax questions (some pertaining to real estate) that many people may have right now.

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Andrew Vargas
Tax Reform & Have a Great Holiday

Due to all the recent discussions taking place regarding tax reform and the emails I've received from some of you asking for my opinion, I've decided to write this email. However, I will not touch too much on this topic in terms of my opinion due to all the partisan issues occuring but I will provide some articles (below) that you may find helpful.  
 

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Andrew Vargas
My Final Take on the Housing Market & What's to Come for 2018

I expect that in 2018 it will be another year of growth in the economy in which home prices will rise 2 to 3% should GDP continue to rise, low unemployment remains, high confidence in both buyers & sellers, and should the Federal Reserve continue to leave interest rates ultra low. 

News: Today the Federal Reserve just raised interest rates 25 basis points. Thus, the total federal funds interest rates are now 1.5%. (For more info on why this matters for the housing industry, go to my website- on the home page scroll down to the housing chart: https://www.andrewvargas.com)

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Andrew Vargas
It's a GREAT time to sell your home now.

Yup, it's a good time to sell due to the uncertainties on tax reform (should it even pass) but more importantly on other factors such as artificially low interest rates, stock market boom, and low inventory. Would be a shame to decide to sell should anything POP at that time!

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Andrew Vargas